Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Another Nice Day

Today 7/30 - Partly Cloudy - High 83° / Tonight - Partly Cloudy - Low 60°

Today's weather will be much like yesterday's weather. However, more clouds may accompany today than yesterday. This is because there is a small shortwave moving in to the back side of the trough we're in. However, this won't disrupt our weather that much. Expect partly cloudy skies with a high around 83° today.
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid This Evening - NOAA WPC
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid This Evening - NOAA WPC
Surface ridging will move into the region tonight in the way of high pressure, which will diminish cloud cover. Expect partly cloudy skies with lows around 60°.

Thursday 7/31 - Partly Cloudy - High 86° / Thur Night - Partly Cloudy - Low 62°

On Thursday we'll lose some of our upper level wind support from the the northwest. This means temperatures will begin to rise once more. Moisture will also be moving into the region. However, no rain is expected with partly cloudy skies once again being the case. Highs will be in the mid 80s across the Bowling Green area. It's like the forecast is chasing its own tail, just going in circles.
On Thursday night some of our cloud cover may once again diminish from the lack of heat. Thus, partly cloudy to mostly clear skies are expected with a low of 62°.

Friday 8/1 - Isolated Showers - High 88° / Fri Night - Partly Cloudy - Low 65°

Yes! It's the Friday forecast, which means the weekend is in sight. Friday, we'll have another shortwave entering the base of the trough. This will lift some of the warm air over the region. Lift is what creates cloud cover and precipitation. Thus, we can expect some isolated showers and thunderstorms to form on Friday. Coverage should remain limited. Highs will be in the upper 80s.
500mb Winds - Valid Friday Afternoon - College of DuPage
500mb Winds - Valid Friday Afternoon - College of DuPage
On Friday night you can expect some of those thunderstorms to die off since we lose energy from the sun. Partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the mid 60s.

That's all for today's forecast. Be sure to stay updated with local weather info by following @WxOrNotBG on Twitter. Have a good day!

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Much Cooler Weather Sticking Around

Today 7/29 - Partly Cloudy - High 79° / Tonight - Partly Cloudy - Low 57°

High pressure will build into the region today. As a result, we'll see a little less in the way of cloud cover and slightly cooler temperatures. Conditions will be partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies as highs will be right around 79° across the south central Kentucky region.
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid Today - NOAA WPC
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid Today - NOAA WPC
Tonight will bring some awesome weather to the area. Partly cloudy skies with lows in the mid to upper 50s. Not much to complain about here.

Wednesday 7/30 - Mostly Sunny - High 83° / Wed Night - Partly Cloudy - Low 59°

High pressure will continue to dominate the weather story at the surface. However, some of our upper level winds out of the northwest will die down just a hair. This will allow for some warmer temperatures to resurface. Under mostly sunny skies, you can expect highs in the low to mid 80s. Put on the shades!
Still no complaints about the weather on Wednesday night. Conditions look great as we'll see partly cloudy skies with lows in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Thursday 7/31 - Partly Cloudy - High 85° / Thur Night - Partly Cloudy - Low 62°

Still not much to talk about in the weather. We're stuck in a relatively calm pattern across the Bowling Green area. However, we could get used to that. Highs will be in the mid 80s on your Thursday thanks to the high pressure. Conditions will also remain partly cloudy.

Our string of beautiful nights will continue as we'll see lows in the low 60s with partly cloudy skies. Get out and enjoy it!

That'll wrap up this post. As always be sure to stay informed about the latest weather info by following @WxOrNotBG on twitter. Have a great day!

Monday, July 28, 2014

Much Cooler This Week

Today 7/28 - Partly Cloudy; Cooler - High 81° / Tonight - Partly Cloudy - Low 57°

A cold front moved through the region last night that provided us with a chance of thunderstorms. However, the Bowling Green bubble held strong. Today will feel much nicer across the region because of the frontal passage. Conditions will be much cooler and drier. Highs will feel nice in the low 80s, under partly cloudy skies. Yep, not a bad Monday at all with those highs scooting on out.
On Monday night, similar conditions will persist across the region. Lows will be in the upper 50s under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies.

Tuesday 7/29 - Sunny; Cool - High 78° / Tue Night - Clear; Cool - Low 55°

On Tuesday, high pressure will settle into the Bowling Green region, which will keep any rain chances in the area at bay. We will remain fairly cool as we are situated on the backside of a trough, meaning our upper level winds are from the northwest. Thus, highs will be in the upper 70s across the region under sunny skies.
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid Tuesday Evening - NOAA WPC
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid Tuesday Evening - NOAA WPC
Tuesday night will be downright chilly in some spots with lows in the mid 50s under clear skies. I'm not complaining.

Wednesday 7/30 - Partly Cloudy - High 84° / Wed Night - Partly Cloudy - Low 61°

On Wednesday, our upper level winds that are out of the northwest will be a little weaker here in Bowling Green. This will allow some warmer temperatures to develop across the region. However, still some nice weather is in store as we'll only have partly cloudy skies. You can expect those highs to be in the mid 80s.
Jet Stream Wind Speeds - Valid Wednesday Evening - College of DuPage
Jet Stream Wind Speeds - Valid Wednesday Evening - College of DuPage
Wednesday night will bring partly cloudy skies with lows in the low 60s.

That should wrap up this post. Be sure to follow @WxOrNotBG for the latest weather information for south central Kentucky.

Friday, July 25, 2014

Storm Chances This Weekend

Today 7/25– Mostly Sunny – High 85° / Tonight – Partly Cloudy – Low 68°

6am 61º – 9am 73º – 12pm 81º – 3pm 85º – 6pm 83º

The weather for today looks pretty darn good with warm temperatures reaching the low to mid 80s across the area and more comfortable humidity values as well. The passing front from Wednesday evening and associated area of high pressure still helping to keep things under control for now. Here's our surface map for 1pm today:
Surface Map valid for 1pm Courtesy NOAA WPC
This evening and tonight looks great with partly cloudy skies and temperatures falling into the upper 60s across the region. A great way to bring in the weekend!

Saturday 7/26– Mostly Sunny – High 93° /  Saturday Night – Iso'd T-storms – Low 73°

Model guidance has high pressure drifting east for Saturday and southerly flow kicking into gear, temperatures and dewpoints will be on the increase throughout the day ahead of our next storm system approaching from the northwest. Late afternoon hours will be the warmest with heat indices approaching 100 contingent to any showers that my pop-up, which can't be ruled out at this point. A pretty sultry evening indeed.
Overnight Saturday could bring some thunderstorm and shower activity as necessary dynamics begin to approach the Ohio Valley with the next storm system. A frontal boundary and upper level winds will add to the chances of precipitation overnight, but most activity will stay to our north. Expect continued southerly flow and lows in the low 70s.

Sunday 7/27– Chance of Rain & T'storms – High 95° /  Sunday Night – Chance of Thunderstorms– Low 74°

Sunday will be our biggest threat for interesting weather as more organized areas of thunderstorms are expected with the upper level support and frontal boundary entering the region. The chance for storms and precipitation will be all throughout the day but the best bet for activity will be in the afternoon and evening hours with the highest levels of convective energy available.

GFS has us pretty darn warm Sunday afternoon:
Surface Temperatures as suggested by GFS for Sunday at 1pm.. WARM SECTOR
Model guidance indicates a round of storms possible around lunch time for Bowling Green and could play a huge role on storm development later into the day. However, upper level dynamics kick into high gear later and could instigate more development.

GFS and NAM both suggest a shortwave entering the area late Sunday night, which could mean the chance for two rounds of storms. Here's a duo map of 700mb heights and winds, and NAM suggested radar reflectivity for 10pm Sunday night:
Courtesy Twister Data
The Storm Prediction Center is keeping any eye on our area as well, here's their current Day 3 Outlook including Bowling Green in the Slight Risk area:
Day 3 Convective Outlook Courtesy NOAA SPC
Regardless, thunderstorms are expected Sunday, some of which will be severe. Please pay attention to the weather and exercise common sense and weather safety when necessary. And of course, stay tuned here for updated forecasts as time goes on as they will change.

That sums it up for now. Be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info @WxOrNotBG on Twitter. Have a great Friday!

Thursday, July 24, 2014

Pleasant Days Ahead

Today 7/24 – Mostly Sunny, Pleasant – High 81º / Tonight – Mostly Clear, Cool – Low 59º

3pm 81º - 6pm 79º - 9pm 72º - 12am 65º - 3am 61º - 6am 59º

The surface cold front that brought plenty of showers and storms across the Commonwealth has finally exited the region. A big difference can be felt when stepping outside as cooler and less muggy conditions have taken over Bowling Green, KY.

We can thank the surface high pressure that has situated itself over the Great Lakes Region for the cool down. For the remainder of this afternoon, look for mostly sunny skies to take over as highs warm into the lower 80’s. This feature will begin shifting southeastward tonight as mostly clear and cool conditions settle in. Lows tonight will dip into the upper 50’s.
WPC Forecast Surface Map. Valid For Thursday 7pm.
WPC Forecast Surface Map. Valid For Thursday 7pm.
Fri – Mostly Sunny; Warmer – High 86º / Fri Night – Partly Cloudy; Comfortable – Low 66º

As we look to wrap up the work week, things will do so on a nice note. Surface high pressure will continue its southeastward path from the Great Lakes Region into the Ohio Valley while controlling our short term forecast. However, winds will begin shifting back from our south explaining the temperature increase we’ll see.

Nonetheless, highs will reach the mid 80’s with dewpoint temperatures in the upper 50’s, low 60’s. Despite the higher thermometer readings, our end to the week will remain pleasant as the muggy conditions hold out one more day. Our weather will remain quiet into Friday night as lows dip into the mid 60’s under partly cloudy skies.

 That’s worth celebrating about…

Sat – Mostly Sunny; Hot – High 92º / Sat Night – Mostly Cloudy; Sct’d Storms – Low 73º

Well, if you missed the heat and humidity, don’t worry because it abruptly returns by Saturday. The continued southerly flow will pump in plenty of moisture and warmth back across southern Kentucky as the warm front overtakes the Commonwealth. While much of the day looks to remain dry, showers and storms will increase into Sunday as an approaching frontal boundary gathers steam across the northern Central Plains.
WPC Forecast Surface Map. Valid For
WPC Forecast Surface Map. Valid For Saturday 7am.
The latest model guidance has slowed the progression of the frontal passage as Sunday looks to be the best time (through the weekend) for storms. Overall, Saturday will feature warm and muggy conditions with highs soaring into the low 90’s. Clouds will increase Saturday afternoon leading to mostly cloudy skies by Saturday night. Rain chances ramp up starting Sunday morning.

That does it for now, folks. Be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info by following @WxOrNotBG on twitter. Get out and enjoy this wonderful weather!